Last night, the TX-06 special election occurred. That race was previously narrowed down to two Republicans, locking out Democrats from even being on the final ballot. At the time, it was a good sign for Republicans, as the partisan shifts in the district were substantial compared to the prior election.

Turnout was abysmal for the final round, and in the end, Jake Ellzey defeated Susan Wright, whose husband previously held the seat before his death. And while a Republican beating a Republican normally wouldn’t be noteworthy, what has some celebrating is that Wright was endorsed by Donald Trump.

Here’s Henry Olsen, opinion writer for The Washington Post, getting way too excited.

Yeah, color me extremely skeptical about the conclusions Olsen draws, and it’s no secret I’m big on Ron DeSantis in 2024 so my analysis is not coming from a place of singular support of Trump. Instead, I’m looking at the dynamics of the election in question and making a reasoned judgment.

Take the turnout issue, for example. This was a very unique situation because it was a Republican lockout. That means that voters were able to sit at home with the knowledge that a Republican was going to win the seat no matter what. I’ll be honest, unless there were serious differences policy-wise between the candidates (and there really weren’t here), I probably would have found something better to do as well. The lower turnout goes in any race, the more skewed the results typically become. Was Trump unable to rally the troops via his endorsement? Or were the troops just not that concerned about a seat a Republican was going to win regardless?